Home and Foreign. Evaluate how Home’s macroeconomic

Imagine a world with two large countries, Home and Foreign. Evaluate how Home’s macroeconomic policies affect Foreign. Compare the small and the large country cases; consider both permanent monetary and fiscal

Answer: Note that since the two countries are large, neither country can be thought of any longer as facing a fixed external interest rate or a fixed level of foreign export demand.

Consider only permanent shifts.

A permanent monetary expansion by Home, in the small country’s case, would lead to currency depreciation and increase in output, interest rates also falling. When the Home economy is large, the same would happen, but now the rest of the world is affected too. Because Home is facing real currency depreciation, Foreign must be experiencing a real currency appreciation. This makes foreign goods relatively expensive and thus reduces its output. However, this increases Home’s output, since Home’s imports will rise. Thus, it is not clear what will happen to Foreign output. Note that Foreign output can rise only if the Foreign nominal interest rate rises too, and

it can fall only if Foreign nominal interest rate falls. This is because the foreign market equilibrium is:

M*/P* = L(R*, Y*). (Because in this exercise M* is not changing and P* is sticky by assumption and thus fixed in the short run.)

Now consider a permanent expansionary fiscal policy in Home.

In the small country case, a permanent fiscal expansion would cause a real currency appreciation and a current account deterioration that would fully nullify any positive effect on aggregate demand. In effect, the expansionary impact of the Home fiscal ease would leak

entirely abroad. This is because the counterpart of Home’s lower current account balance must be a higher current account balance abroad.

In the large country case, Foreign output still rises because Foreign’s exports become relatively cheaper when Home’s currency appreciates. In addition, now some of Foreign’s increased spending increases Home exports, so Home’s output actually increases along with the output of Foreign. Home’s nominal interest rate must rise and Foreign’s interest rate rises at the same time as well.

© 版权声明
THE END
喜欢就支持以下吧
点赞0 分享
评论 抢沙发

请登录后发表评论

    暂无评论内容