Discuss the problems that the EMU will face.

Discuss the problems that the EMU will face in the coming years.

Answer: pages 631-632. (1) Europe is not an optimum currency area; therefore asymmetric economic developments within different countries of the euro zone that call for different interest rates cannot be implemented. (2) The political part of the unification is much weaker and may limit the political legitimacy of the economic unification. (3) On the one hand, labor markets remain highly unionized and subject to high government unemployment taxes and other regulations impeding labor mobility. On the other hand, capital has high incentive to migrate to the EMU countries with the lowest wages. (4) Constraints on national fiscal policy are likely to be painful due to the absence of substantial fiscal federalism (fiscal transfer of resources from the rich to the less rich countries within the European Union). (5) The EU is considering a large-scale expansion of its membership into Eastern Europe and the Mediterranean. This will cause many coordination costs and also the issue of representation of small and big countries.

 

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